Invest 92L Poised to Become Tropical Storm Gabrielle as Another Wave Moves Off Africa
The Atlantic hurricane season is showing renewed signs of life as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is now tracking two separate areas for potential tropical development.
The most immediate concern is Invest 92L, a system in the central Atlantic that is showing increasing signs of organization and is highly likely to become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Gabrielle within the next day or two.
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According to the NHC, Invest 92L is a large area of showers and thunderstorms located roughly midway between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa. Environmental conditions, including warm ocean waters and favorable atmospheric conditions, are conducive for further strengthening.
Forecasters have given Invest 92L a high probability of formation over the next 48 hours and a very high probability over the next week. The next name on the Atlantic storm list is Gabrielle, which would be the seventh named storm of the season.
While some computer models show the system strengthening into a hurricane, most forecast tracks show it curving northward into the open central Atlantic, steering it away from land. However, some models suggest a path closer to the Caribbean or Bermuda, and forecasters are urging residents in those areas to monitor the situation. It is still too early to determine any potential impact on the United States.
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In addition to Invest 92L, the NHC is also keeping a close eye on a tropical wave that has just moved off the coast of Africa. This second area of interest is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, but forecasters say slow development is possible as it moves westward.
The NHC has assigned this system a low chance of development over the next seven days, but its emergence is a reminder that the peak of hurricane season is ongoing, and residents should remain prepared. The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs through November 30.
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