Byron Donalds is effectively running away with the Florida Republican primary for Governor. New data released Monday by Fabrizio Lee & Associates shows the Trump-endorsed congressman has surged to a massive 54% of the vote among likely primary voters.
This marks a significant 9-point jump since January, leaving his nearest competitors struggling to break out of the single digits.
The numbers paint a bleak picture for the rest of the field. James Fishback currently sits at 9%, followed by Jay Collins at 7% and Paul Renner at 2%. While 28% of voters remain undecided, the polling suggests those shifting away from the “undecided” column are moving almost exclusively toward Donalds.
The momentum follows a record-breaking financial performance for the Naples Republican. Donalds recently posted a $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul, a figure the campaign notes is the largest ever for a non-incumbent in the history of Florida politics.
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This financial advantage is bolstered by a high-profile endorsement list that includes President Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Senator Rick Scott, and the majority of Florida’s sheriffs.
“Polling continues to confirm what we’ve seen from day one on the ground,” said Ryan Smith, chairman of the Friends of Byron Donalds PAC. “Floridians are choosing Byron Donalds because he is THE Trump-endorsed America First conservative who will lower costs, fight illegal immigration, and take the fight directly to the Radical Democrats in November.”
The survey, which sampled 420 likely Republican primary voters between April 26 and April 30, reveals that Donalds’ support is broad.
The demographic breakdown shows a primary electorate that is 73% White, 17% Latino, and 6% Black, with a nearly even split between male and female voters. Geographically, Donalds holds strong leads in major hubs like Tampa, Orlando, and his home base in the Fort Myers-Naples area.
With the primary looming, the Fabrizio Lee & Associates memo suggests the hill may be too steep for challengers to climb, citing Donalds’ “clear financial advantage” and the “ever-popular” backing of President Trump as the primary drivers behind his 45-point lead. The poll has a margin of error of ±4.78%.
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