The tail end of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season is showing new signs of life, with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) actively monitoring two distinct areas of interest, including one in the Gulf of Mexico, that will contribute to a wet weekend for many areas.
While one system poses little threat of tropical development, a more distant tropical wave holds a significant chance of forming into a tropical depression by the middle of next week.
Tropical Wave Bears Watching
The primary area of concern is a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is currently producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Forecasters are increasingly focused on the long-term potential for this wave to organize. Gradual development is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week as it moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: 20%
- Formation chance through 7 days: 60%
If this system continues on its projected track, it will approach portions of the Leeward Islands by next week, and residents in the eastern Caribbean should closely monitor its progress.
Gulf System to Bring Weekend Rain
Closer to home, a weak area of low pressure has developed over the north-central Gulf of Mexico, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
This system is expected to move slowly northwestward over the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. While it is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone due to strong upper-level winds, the broad circulation will pull moisture into the region, leading to an increased chance of rain for much of the weekend across Gulf Coast states and inland areas.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%
- Formation chance through 7 days: 0%
Hurricane Season Reminder
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 through November 30. Even in October, the later stages of the season can produce powerful and long-lasting storms, highlighting the need for continued vigilance.
Coastal residents and those in the path of the rain-producing Gulf low are urged to monitor weather developments.
READ: Powering Through Peril In Florida: Essential Generator Safety As Hurricane Season Looms
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