Residents across Texas and Louisiana are facing a week of heavy downpours and potential flash flooding as meteorologists track a developing weather system moving out of Mexico.
The National Hurricane Center reported that a trough of low pressure over northeastern Mexico is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While the system is not expected to strengthen while it stays over land during the next day or so, its path is forecast to bring it back out over open water soon.
Forecasters expect the disturbance to drift generally northward over northeastern Mexico and southern Texas before turning northeastward. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico late Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions may support some development around midweek.
Right now, the odds of the system spinning up into a formal tropical cyclone are relatively low. The National Hurricane Center puts the formation chance at 20 percent over the next 48 hours and 30 percent over the next seven days.
However, weather officials stress that whether a tropical storm forms or not, the impact on the ground will likely be the same. “Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall, flash flooding and gusty winds are possible across portions of eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this week,” the agency noted in its advisory.
Local National Weather Service Forecast Offices are urging residents in the potentially affected regions to monitor their local products and prepare for heavy rain and gusty conditions as the week progresses.
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