A new tropical system has developed in the Eastern Pacific, but forecasters expect its lifespan to be brief as it interacts with nearby Tropical Storm Iselle.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami announced Monday afternoon that Tropical Depression Ten-E formed a few hundred miles south-southwest of Iselle. Satellite data and scatterometer passes confirmed the low-pressure system established a well-defined surface circulation with increasing thunderstorm activity over its center.
“Over the past 12 hours, thunderstorm activity has increased significantly over the center,” the National Hurricane Center noted in its initial discussion, adding that recent satellite imagery highlighted a curved banding structure of convection around the circulation.
The depression is moving toward the north-northeast and is expected to turn north while accelerating over the next 24 hours. Forecasters say this track will be heavily influenced by Tropical Storm Iselle, which is currently drawing the smaller depression toward its own circulation.
While Ten-E is traveling over warm waters in a moist environment—conditions that could allow it to briefly reach tropical storm strength with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph over the next 12 to 24 hours—its window for development will close quickly.
According to the official forecast, the system will encounter increasing northerly vertical wind shear as it draws closer to Iselle. Every major forecast model indicates that Ten-E will completely dissipate within 36 hours.
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