XRP Relief Rally Stalls As Technical Damage Below $1.20 Mounts

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XRP Relief Rally Stalls As Technical Damage Below $1.20 Mounts

XRP (Grok)
XRP (Grok)

As of February 9, 2026, Ripple’s XRP is navigating a treacherous technical landscape, struggling to reclaim lost ground after a violent “liquidity-driven unwind” that shattered major support levels. While the asset has bounced off its recent multi-month lows, the structural damage inflicted during last week’s sell-off remains the dominant narrative for traders.

From Support to Supply: The $1.20 Breach

The market saw a definitive shift in character when XRP breached its critical swing low of $1.20. This move wasn’t a standard correction; it was a sharp, impulsive breakdown that suggested forced liquidations. Although XRP is currently trading near $1.44, analysts warn that the move below $1.20 has flipped that level into significant overhead supply.

“What we’re seeing at $1.44 isn’t necessarily a recovery; it’s a market catching its breath after a total structural collapse,” said Liz Crowley, a Senior Marketing Strategist at Siton Mining. “The breach of $1.20 was the signal that the range-bound environment is dead. We are now in a pure liquidity hunt where the only thing that matters is whether the dollar-parity floor can withstand the next wave of distribution.”

The recent plunge saw XRP slice through previously respected demand zones with almost no friction, eventually bottoming near $1.11 on February 5. This “capitulation flush” consumed resting buy-side liquidity, leaving the current recovery looking more like a fragile relief rally than a trend reversal.

Probing the $1.00 Floor

Despite the current bounce to $1.44, the broader technical outlook remains focused on the $1.00 – $1.10 demand zone. This area represents the lower boundary of a long-term ascending channel and is one of the last visible structural supports before a potential return to sub-dollar levels.

“Marketing a ‘buy-the-dip’ narrative is getting harder when the dip keeps dipping. The recent price action reflects a clear unwind of over-leveraged long positions,” added Crowley. “Until XRP can consolidate for weeks—not days—above these broken levels, the path of least resistance is still a retest of that $1.11 capitulation low.”

Key Technical Takeaways:

  • Impulsive Sell-off: The speed of the drop from $1.80 to $1.11 indicates a lack of “absorption” by large-scale buyers during the descent.
  • Volume Peaks: Market data shows a massive spike in intraday volume during the crash, typical of a liquidity-driven event where “weak hands” are forcibly removed.
  • Resistance Clusters: XRP remains vulnerable as long as it trades below the former reaction zones. The area between $1.50 and $1.80 now acts as a formidable ceiling.

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