As the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season kicks off tomorrow, Sunday, June 1st, AccuWeather meteorologists are already pinpointing a window for potential tropical development in the second week of June, raising concerns for areas from the Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico, and potentially the United States.
While the tropics are expected to remain relatively quiet for the immediate days following the season’s commencement, a shift in atmospheric conditions could spark activity between June 6th and June 13th.
READ: NOAA And CSU Forecast Above-Normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Urge Preparedness
AccuWeather Tropical Meteorologist Alex Duffus highlights a “pulse of low pressure” moving from east to west globally, coinciding with a surge of moisture and a reduction in disruptive winds across the western Caribbean and southern Gulf. These factors combine to create a favorable environment for a tropical depression or storm to form.
The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic season will be Andrea. Its eventual track will hinge on its rapid intensification and the prevailing steering currents at the time of its formation. However, meteorologists indicate a possibility of the system drifting into the Gulf of Mexico, making landfall in the U.S. mainland, or slowly weakening over Central America, southeastern Mexico, or Cuba before mid-month. The Florida Keys, in particular, could experience impacts between June 10th and 13th.
Even before any potential tropical development, a moist zone is anticipated to form along a lingering cool front from South Florida to the Bahamas and Cuba starting this weekend. This could bring repeated showers and heavy thunderstorms, potentially leading to several inches of rain and localized street flooding in cities like Miami and Fort Lauderdale.
READ: Powering Through Peril In Florida: Essential Generator Safety As Hurricane Season Looms
For those planning boating, fishing, or cruise activities in the western Caribbean, southern Gulf, and Florida Straits, AccuWeather strongly advises close monitoring of the evolving weather situation.
It’s worth noting that the Eastern Pacific hurricane season began earlier this month, and Tropical Storm Alvin has already formed, marking the first named storm in either basin bordering North America for 2025. This early activity in the Pacific serves as a reminder of the potential for the Atlantic basin to follow suit as conditions become more conducive for tropical cyclogenesis.
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