Former President Donald Trump is beating out President Joe Biden in Wisconsin, a critical battleground state, following a string of comparable results in other significant swing states.
According to an Emerson College survey, Trump is leading Biden 42% to 40% among Wisconsin voters, with 11% selecting someone else and 8% staying undecided. The study was conducted after Trump beat Biden in several other recent battleground state polls, including those conducted in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
“In a state Biden won in 2020 by less than a percentage point, and Trump won in 2016 by nearly the same margin, this poll suggests a similar trajectory for 2024,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.
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According to a new Emerson College study released on Wednesday, Trump is nine points ahead of Biden in Pennsylvania.
Trump leads Biden by 42% to 35% in Michigan, according to a survey by Marketing Resource Group.
Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are the three battleground states that Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016 but lost to Biden in 2020.
According to recent polls, Trump is also ahead of Biden in national surveys and a number of other crucial swing states, including Georgia and North Carolina.
In a mid-September Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump leads Biden 41% to 35% in the states with the closest margins of victory in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
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Drawing on the most recent polling, the RealClearPolitics average for a national Republican and Democratic primary in 2024 indicates that Trump and Biden lead their respective fields by 57.8% and 61.3%, respectively.
532 Wisconsin voters were questioned for the Emerson College poll between October 1 and October 4, with a 4.2% margin of error.
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