Election Integrity

Poll: Republicans Widen Lead Over Democrats On Generic Ballot Roughly Six Months Before Election

A new poll shows that roughly six months ahead of the fall elections, the Republicans are widening their lead in congressional contests.

A joint poll by The Federalist, a conservative news website, and Susquehanna Polling showed that when presented a generic ballot, 49 percent of likely voters would pick the Republican, compared to just 39 percent who would opt for the Democrat.

That expanded the lead recorded by the groups when they last asked the question in February. Then, Republicans had a 47-41 lead.

The poll suggested that President Joe Biden continues to be a drag on Democrats and their electoral prospects.

Biden’s approval rating in this poll stood at 39 percent, with a 54 percent disapproval score. In that last poll, Biden got approval from 42 percent of respondents, relative to 52 percent who disliked him.

“In contrast,” Federalist CEO Sean Davis noted, “45 percent of voters said they had a favorable opinion of former President Donald Trump.”

On issues, Biden’s numbers remained bad across the board.

For example, 52 percent disapproved of his handling of the illegal immigration crisis on the southern border, 56 percent disapproved of his handling of gas prices, 61 percent disapproved of his handling of inflation, and 54 percent disapproved of his handling of crime across the country.

Biden’s personal favorability rating also tanked, as only 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of him.

The other thing hurting Democrats is their misguided economic policies. The economy is shaping up as the most important issue for many voters.

When asked if the economy has “gotten better, gotten worse or has it remained about the same” in the past six months, 66 percent said worse. Only 14 percent said better.

As for other pollsters on the generic ballot question, the Real Clear Politics average of national polls shows the GOP with a 4.8-point lead. In the RCP tally, the GOP has led on that question since mid-November.

Three right-leaning pollsters have the Republicans in the same range as Federalist Susquehanna, showing the GOP ahead by eight, nine, and 12 points, respectively.

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